MODULE 01
Separate the move from the cause
Price movement is the observation. Your job is to identify the driver.
CORE IDEA
A stock can move because of the broad market, its sector, company-specific news, interest rates, liquidity, positioning, or sentiment. Before reacting, separate what changed in price from what changed in the underlying environment.
WORKED EXAMPLE
A software stock falls 5% on a day when the Nasdaq falls 3%, long-term yields rise sharply, and most software stocks are down. The move may be driven more by market and sector pressure than by a new company-specific problem.